研究文章
预测热带气旋的使用数据挖掘技术特征因素对海南岛
|
| 预估时间 |
区号 |
预测模型
(1或2) |
的意思是/ SD LAT偏差
单位:°N |
朗的平均/ SD偏差
单位:°E |
美联社的平均/ SD偏差
单位:下丘脑-垂体-肾上腺轴的 |
的意思是/ SD WS偏差
单位:米/秒 |
|
| 24小时 |
1 |
1 |
0.8128/0.6515 |
1.0295/0.7600 |
4.9278/3.9733 |
3.7787/2.8858 |
| 2 |
0.7004/0.5153 |
0.8802/0.7011 |
5.4114/4.3187 |
3.9637/2.9843 |
| 2 |
1 |
0.9131/0.5832 |
0.9864/0.7794 |
6.3412/4.4247 |
3.8268/2.7857 |
| 2 |
0.7538/0.6538 |
1.0050/0.8670 |
4.9175/4.9673 |
3.8487/3.0261 |
| 3 |
1 |
0.7555/0.5945 |
1.0528/0.9093 |
7.8149/6.9316 |
4.7342/4.1782 |
| 2 |
0.7727/0.6183 |
0.8949/0.7255 |
7.3489/6.6512 |
5.1718/4.3368 |
| 4 |
1 |
0.6582/0.5365 |
0.8797/0.6251 |
6.6373/5.5333 |
3.6128/2.6486 |
| 2 |
0.6404/0.4911 |
0.9500/0.6746 |
6.2280/5.6617 |
3.7521/2.5645 |
| 5 |
1 |
0.6899/0.4989 |
0.8618/0.6124 |
6.2218/6.3820 |
2.9503/2.5823 |
| 2 |
0.6996/0.5634 |
1.0017/0.7915 |
6.3203/6.1131 |
4.1867/3.2785 |
|
| 48小时 |
1 |
1 |
1.2198/0.8343 |
1.7735/1.4304 |
9.7782/5.7246 |
6.8402/4.0289 |
| 2 |
1.2598/0.8949 |
1.6941/1.2488 |
9.4557/7.2439 |
6.5030/4.4361 |
| 2 |
1 |
1.2250/0.9604 |
2.1960/1.6746 |
10.9775/8.4764 |
7.9032/5.9307 |
| 2 |
1.2857/1.0131 |
2.0330/1.5552 |
8.1434/6.3813 |
6.5293/4.3273 |
| 3 |
1 |
1.2407/0.7253 |
2.1655/1.7786 |
9.6580/6.9204 |
7.5541/5.2989 |
| 2 |
1.3250/0.9565 |
1.8414/1.5666 |
8.1024/7.2309 |
6.2452/5.3772 |
| 4 |
1 |
0.9162/0.8120 |
1.7618/1.3047 |
7.9009/5.5968 |
5.7899/4.5371 |
| 2 |
0.9896/0.7848 |
1.5020/1.1732 |
7.0978/4.8208 |
5.2826/3.7708 |
| 5 |
1 |
0.9650/0.7833 |
1.6960/1.4327 |
9.1107/7.4706 |
8.7411/6.4006 |
| 2 |
1.1315/1.0845 |
1.9731/1.5516 |
9.2449/6.8041 |
6.8057/4.8502 |
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