研究文章

模糊可靠性分析的COVID-19死亡率使用新的修改黄铁矿Kumaraswamy模型

表2

RB和初速的MSE,国会议员,CVM,广告,和贝叶斯估计MKKu分布

大中型企业 国会议员 CVM 广告 贝叶斯
RB 均方误差 RB 均方误差 RB 均方误差 RB 均方误差 RB 均方误差

0.5 30. 0.1056 0.0702 0.2361 0.0934 0.1328 0.0285 0.1148 0.0430 0.0168 0.0082
0.1755 0.0944 −0.0889 0.0821 −0.0419 0.0248 0.0115 0.0510 0.0070 0.0135
0.2393 0.1891 −0.0463 0.1191 0.0451 0.0635 0.0927 0.1105 −0.0057 0.0152
−0.9078 5.716E−05 −0.9102 0.0000 −0.9126 0.0001 −0.9103 0.0001 −0.9120 3.454E−05
−0.8690 1.197E−04 −0.8717 0.0001 −0.8764 0.0002 −0.8726 0.0001 −0.8747 7.104E−05
−0.8779 2.157E−04 −0.8796 0.0002 −0.8851 0.0004 −0.8811 0.0002 −0.8828 1.261E−04
80年 0.0201 0.0327 0.1421 0.0412 0.0544 0.0147 0.0518 0.0186 0.0230 0.0048
0.1668 0.0732 −0.0729 0.0472 0.0040 0.0218 0.0135 0.0276 0.0001 0.0077
0.2003 0.1465 −0.0479 0.0709 0.0444 0.0479 0.0469 0.0517 −0.0124 0.0098
−0.9086 1.574E−05 −0.9093 0.0000 −0.9100 0.0000 −0.9097 0.0000 −0.9102 1.368E−05
−0.8697 3.170E−05 −0.8705 0.0000 −0.8720 0.0000 −0.8713 0.0000 −0.8720 2.766E−05
−0.8779 5.507E−05 −0.8784 0.0001 −0.8804 0.0001 −0.8795 0.0001 −0.8801 4.820E−05
150年 0.0607 0.0229 0.1244 0.0300 0.0340 0.0050 0.0504 0.0176 0.0118 0.0019
0.0356 0.0335 −0.0708 0.0368 −0.0107 0.0062 0.0213 0.0299 0.0024 0.0034
0.0459 0.0523 −0.0545 0.0525 −0.0014 0.0116 0.0460 0.0565 −0.0058 0.0046
−0.9085 1.054E−05 −0.9088 0.0000 −0.9098 0.0000 −0.9091 0.0000 −0.9100 7.210E−06
−0.8695 2.049E−05 −0.8698 0.0000 −0.8716 0.0000 −0.8705 0.0000 −0.8717 1.443E−05
−0.8778 3.383E−05 −0.8778 0.0000 −0.8799 0.0000 −0.8787 0.0000 −0.8797 2.480E−05

3 30. 0.0571 0.0196 0.0276 0.0168 0.0644 0.0135 0.0493 0.0121 0.0212 0.0066
0.0459 0.5967 −0.0533 0.4173 −0.0095 0.0766 −0.0248 0.1783 −0.0022 0.0249
0.1003 0.0658 −0.0267 0.0387 0.0576 0.0505 0.0214 0.0395 −0.0091 0.0155
−0.8326 0.0001 −0.8459 0.0001 −0.8324 0.0002 −0.8374 0.0001 −0.8386 0.0001
−0.9594 0.0002 −0.9627 0.0002 −0.9593 0.0004 −0.9606 0.0002 −0.9609 0.0002
−0.7660 0.0005 −0.7852 0.0004 −0.7658 0.0008 −0.7729 0.0005 −0.7748 0.0004
80年 0.0384 0.0155 0.0089 0.0050 0.0187 0.0052 0.0184 0.0051 0.0070 0.0030
0.0387 0.9714 −0.0347 0.1697 0.0065 0.0661 −0.0059 0.1168 0.0007 0.0194
0.0559 0.0538 −0.0354 0.0134 0.0239 0.0200 0.0037 0.0150 −0.0025 0.0077
−0.8369 3.484E−05 −0.8430 0.0000 −0.8366 0.0001 −0.8383 0.0000 −0.8386 3.291E−05
−0.9605 7.956E−05 −0.9620 0.0001 −0.9604 0.0001 −0.9608 0.0001 −0.9609 7.884E−05
−0.7726 1.544E−04 −0.7814 0.0002 −0.7722 0.0002 −0.7746 0.0002 −0.7752 1.469E−04
150年 0.0180 0.0049 0.0029 0.0025 0.0207 0.0031 0.0194 0.0027 0.0044 0.0015
0.0056 0.2288 −0.0232 0.0877 −0.0107 0.0529 −0.0190 0.0501 −0.0017 0.0080
0.0205 0.0145 −0.0163 0.0079 0.0072 0.0095 −0.0049 0.0074 0.0054 0.0040
−0.8369 1.899E−05 −0.8409 2.022E−05 −0.8367 3.140E−05 −0.8377 2.241E−05 −0.8378 1.953E−05
−0.9605 4.338E−05 −0.9615 4.540E−05 −0.9604 7.036E−05 −0.9607 5.058E−05 −0.9607 4.404E−05
−0.7728 8.393E−05 −0.7786 8.635E−05 −0.7725 1.333E−04 −0.7740 9.664E−05 −0.7742 8.395E−05