研究文章
模糊可靠性分析的COVID-19死亡率使用新的修改黄铁矿Kumaraswamy模型
表2
RB和初速的MSE,国会议员,CVM,广告,和贝叶斯估计MKKu分布
。
|
|
|
大中型企业 |
国会议员 |
CVM |
广告 |
贝叶斯 |
|
|
|
|
RB |
均方误差 |
RB |
均方误差 |
RB |
均方误差 |
RB |
均方误差 |
RB |
均方误差 |
|
| 0.5 |
30. |
|
0.1056 |
0.0702 |
0.2361 |
0.0934 |
0.1328 |
0.0285 |
0.1148 |
0.0430 |
0.0168 |
0.0082 |
|
|
0.1755 |
0.0944 |
−0.0889 |
0.0821 |
−0.0419 |
0.0248 |
0.0115 |
0.0510 |
0.0070 |
0.0135 |
|
|
0.2393 |
0.1891 |
−0.0463 |
0.1191 |
0.0451 |
0.0635 |
0.0927 |
0.1105 |
−0.0057 |
0.0152 |
|
|
−0.9078 |
5.716E−05 |
−0.9102 |
0.0000 |
−0.9126 |
0.0001 |
−0.9103 |
0.0001 |
−0.9120 |
3.454E−05 |
|
|
−0.8690 |
1.197E−04 |
−0.8717 |
0.0001 |
−0.8764 |
0.0002 |
−0.8726 |
0.0001 |
−0.8747 |
7.104E−05 |
|
|
−0.8779 |
2.157E−04 |
−0.8796 |
0.0002 |
−0.8851 |
0.0004 |
−0.8811 |
0.0002 |
−0.8828 |
1.261E−04 |
| 80年 |
|
0.0201 |
0.0327 |
0.1421 |
0.0412 |
0.0544 |
0.0147 |
0.0518 |
0.0186 |
0.0230 |
0.0048 |
|
|
0.1668 |
0.0732 |
−0.0729 |
0.0472 |
0.0040 |
0.0218 |
0.0135 |
0.0276 |
0.0001 |
0.0077 |
|
|
0.2003 |
0.1465 |
−0.0479 |
0.0709 |
0.0444 |
0.0479 |
0.0469 |
0.0517 |
−0.0124 |
0.0098 |
|
|
−0.9086 |
1.574E−05 |
−0.9093 |
0.0000 |
−0.9100 |
0.0000 |
−0.9097 |
0.0000 |
−0.9102 |
1.368E−05 |
|
|
−0.8697 |
3.170E−05 |
−0.8705 |
0.0000 |
−0.8720 |
0.0000 |
−0.8713 |
0.0000 |
−0.8720 |
2.766E−05 |
|
|
−0.8779 |
5.507E−05 |
−0.8784 |
0.0001 |
−0.8804 |
0.0001 |
−0.8795 |
0.0001 |
−0.8801 |
4.820E−05 |
| 150年 |
|
0.0607 |
0.0229 |
0.1244 |
0.0300 |
0.0340 |
0.0050 |
0.0504 |
0.0176 |
0.0118 |
0.0019 |
|
|
0.0356 |
0.0335 |
−0.0708 |
0.0368 |
−0.0107 |
0.0062 |
0.0213 |
0.0299 |
0.0024 |
0.0034 |
|
|
0.0459 |
0.0523 |
−0.0545 |
0.0525 |
−0.0014 |
0.0116 |
0.0460 |
0.0565 |
−0.0058 |
0.0046 |
|
|
−0.9085 |
1.054E−05 |
−0.9088 |
0.0000 |
−0.9098 |
0.0000 |
−0.9091 |
0.0000 |
−0.9100 |
7.210E−06 |
|
|
−0.8695 |
2.049E−05 |
−0.8698 |
0.0000 |
−0.8716 |
0.0000 |
−0.8705 |
0.0000 |
−0.8717 |
1.443E−05 |
|
|
−0.8778 |
3.383E−05 |
−0.8778 |
0.0000 |
−0.8799 |
0.0000 |
−0.8787 |
0.0000 |
−0.8797 |
2.480E−05 |
|
| 3 |
30. |
|
0.0571 |
0.0196 |
0.0276 |
0.0168 |
0.0644 |
0.0135 |
0.0493 |
0.0121 |
0.0212 |
0.0066 |
|
|
0.0459 |
0.5967 |
−0.0533 |
0.4173 |
−0.0095 |
0.0766 |
−0.0248 |
0.1783 |
−0.0022 |
0.0249 |
|
|
0.1003 |
0.0658 |
−0.0267 |
0.0387 |
0.0576 |
0.0505 |
0.0214 |
0.0395 |
−0.0091 |
0.0155 |
|
|
−0.8326 |
0.0001 |
−0.8459 |
0.0001 |
−0.8324 |
0.0002 |
−0.8374 |
0.0001 |
−0.8386 |
0.0001 |
|
|
−0.9594 |
0.0002 |
−0.9627 |
0.0002 |
−0.9593 |
0.0004 |
−0.9606 |
0.0002 |
−0.9609 |
0.0002 |
|
|
−0.7660 |
0.0005 |
−0.7852 |
0.0004 |
−0.7658 |
0.0008 |
−0.7729 |
0.0005 |
−0.7748 |
0.0004 |
| 80年 |
|
0.0384 |
0.0155 |
0.0089 |
0.0050 |
0.0187 |
0.0052 |
0.0184 |
0.0051 |
0.0070 |
0.0030 |
|
|
0.0387 |
0.9714 |
−0.0347 |
0.1697 |
0.0065 |
0.0661 |
−0.0059 |
0.1168 |
0.0007 |
0.0194 |
|
|
0.0559 |
0.0538 |
−0.0354 |
0.0134 |
0.0239 |
0.0200 |
0.0037 |
0.0150 |
−0.0025 |
0.0077 |
|
|
−0.8369 |
3.484E−05 |
−0.8430 |
0.0000 |
−0.8366 |
0.0001 |
−0.8383 |
0.0000 |
−0.8386 |
3.291E−05 |
|
|
−0.9605 |
7.956E−05 |
−0.9620 |
0.0001 |
−0.9604 |
0.0001 |
−0.9608 |
0.0001 |
−0.9609 |
7.884E−05 |
|
|
−0.7726 |
1.544E−04 |
−0.7814 |
0.0002 |
−0.7722 |
0.0002 |
−0.7746 |
0.0002 |
−0.7752 |
1.469E−04 |
| 150年 |
|
0.0180 |
0.0049 |
0.0029 |
0.0025 |
0.0207 |
0.0031 |
0.0194 |
0.0027 |
0.0044 |
0.0015 |
|
|
0.0056 |
0.2288 |
−0.0232 |
0.0877 |
−0.0107 |
0.0529 |
−0.0190 |
0.0501 |
−0.0017 |
0.0080 |
|
|
0.0205 |
0.0145 |
−0.0163 |
0.0079 |
0.0072 |
0.0095 |
−0.0049 |
0.0074 |
0.0054 |
0.0040 |
|
|
−0.8369 |
1.899E−05 |
−0.8409 |
2.022E−05 |
−0.8367 |
3.140E−05 |
−0.8377 |
2.241E−05 |
−0.8378 |
1.953E−05 |
|
|
−0.9605 |
4.338E−05 |
−0.9615 |
4.540E−05 |
−0.9604 |
7.036E−05 |
−0.9607 |
5.058E−05 |
−0.9607 |
4.404E−05 |
|
|
−0.7728 |
8.393E−05 |
−0.7786 |
8.635E−05 |
−0.7725 |
1.333E−04 |
−0.7740 |
9.664E−05 |
−0.7742 |
8.395E−05 |
|
|