研究文章

模糊可靠性分析的COVID-19死亡率使用新的修改黄铁矿Kumaraswamy模型

表1

RB和初速的MSE,国会议员,CVM,广告,和贝叶斯估计MKKu分布

大中型企业 国会议员 CVM 广告 贝叶斯
RB 均方误差 RB 均方误差 RB 均方误差 RB 均方误差 RB 均方误差

3 30. 0.0452 0.1505 −0.0319 0.1150 0.0125 0.0942 0.0014 0.0883 −0.0001 0.0250
0.0274 0.0635 −0.0193 0.0415 0.0077 0.0293 0.0034 0.0263 −0.0024 0.0216
0.0232 0.0025 −0.0185 0.0017 0.0067 0.0017 0.0019 0.0013 −0.0023 0.0016
−0.9639 0.0009 −0.9604 0.0008 −0.9622 0.0008 −0.9619 0.0007 −0.9616 0.0004
−0.9275 0.0022 −0.9240 0.0017 −0.9253 0.0020 −0.9252 0.0018 −0.9243 0.0012
−0.4228 0.0036 −0.4240 0.0028 −0.4183 0.0039 −0.4208 0.0033 −0.4147 0.0028
80年 0.0163 0.0564 −0.0204 0.0413 0.0011 0.0134 0.0013 0.0134 −0.0006 0.0155
0.0116 0.0409 −0.0125 0.0134 0.0007 0.0038 0.0008 0.0039 −0.0027 0.0140
0.0094 0.0013 −0.0116 0.0005 0.0004 0.0003 0.0002 0.0003 −0.0031 0.0007
−0.9627 0.0003 −0.9609 0.0003 −0.9619 0.0002 −0.9619 0.0002 −0.9618 0.0002
−0.9257 0.0008 −0.9239 0.0007 −0.9246 0.0006 −0.9247 0.0005 −0.9247 0.0005
−0.4175 0.0012 −0.4174 0.0010 −0.4149 0.0012 −0.4152 0.0011 −0.4158 0.0010
150年 0.0056 0.0274 −0.0179 0.0237 −0.0094 0.0186 −0.0055 0.0147 −0.0009 0.0077
0.0005 0.0175 −0.0108 0.0073 −0.0037 0.0058 −0.0030 0.0045 0.0014 0.0073
0.0032 0.0006 −0.0071 0.0003 −0.0011 0.0004 −0.0003 0.0002 0.0026 0.0004
−0.9617 0.0002 −0.9606 0.0002 −0.9611 0.0002 −0.9613 0.0001 −0.9616 0.0001
−0.9243 0.0004 −0.9232 0.0004 −0.9236 0.0004 −0.9238 0.0004 −0.9242 0.0003
−0.4110 0.0007 −0.4111 0.0006 −0.4108 0.0007 −0.4106 0.0006 −0.4113 0.0006

0.5 30. 0.0571 0.0196 0.0276 0.0168 0.0644 0.0135 0.0493 0.0121 0.0212 0.0066
0.0459 0.5967 −0.0533 0.4173 −0.0095 0.0766 −0.0248 0.1783 −0.0022 0.0249
0.1003 0.0658 −0.0267 0.0387 0.0576 0.0505 0.0214 0.0395 −0.0091 0.0155
−0.8326 0.0001 −0.8459 0.0001 −0.8324 0.0002 −0.8374 0.0001 −0.8386 0.0001
−0.9594 0.0002 −0.9627 0.0002 −0.9593 0.0004 −0.9606 0.0002 −0.9609 0.0002
−0.7660 0.0005 −0.7852 0.0004 −0.7658 0.0008 −0.7729 0.0005 −0.7748 0.0004
80年 0.0384 0.0155 0.0089 0.0050 0.0187 0.0052 0.0184 0.0051 0.0070 0.0030
0.0387 0.9714 −0.0347 0.1697 0.0065 0.0661 −0.0059 0.1168 0.0007 0.0194
0.0559 0.0538 −0.0354 0.0134 0.0239 0.0200 0.0037 0.0150 −0.0025 0.0077
−0.8369 3.484E−05 −0.8430 0.0000 −0.8366 0.0001 −0.8383 0.0000 −0.8386 3.091E−05
−0.9605 7.956E−05 −0.9620 0.0001 −0.9604 0.0001 −0.9608 0.0001 −0.9609 7.884E−05
−0.7726 1.544E−04 −0.7814 0.0002 −0.7722 0.0002 −0.7746 0.0002 −0.7752 1.427E−04
150年 0.0180 0.0049 0.0029 0.0025 0.0207 0.0031 0.0194 0.0027 0.0044 0.0015
0.0056 0.2288 −0.0232 0.0877 −0.0107 0.0529 −0.0190 0.0501 −0.0017 0.0080
0.0205 0.0145 −0.0163 0.0079 0.0072 0.0095 −0.0049 0.0074 0.0054 0.0040
−0.8369 1.899E−05 −0.8409 1.820E−05 −0.8367 3.140E−05 −0.8377 2.241E−05 −0.8378 1.795E−05
−0.9605 4.338E−05 −0.9615 4.305E−05 −0.9604 7.036E−05 −0.9607 5.058E−05 −0.9607 4.304E−05
−0.7728 8.393E−05 −0.7786 8.364E−05 −0.7725 1.333E−04 −0.7740 9.664E−05 −0.7742 8.309E−05