研究文章
模糊可靠性分析的COVID-19死亡率使用新的修改黄铁矿Kumaraswamy模型
表1
RB和初速的MSE,国会议员,CVM,广告,和贝叶斯估计MKKu分布
。
|
|
|
大中型企业 |
国会议员 |
CVM |
广告 |
贝叶斯 |
|
|
|
|
RB |
均方误差 |
RB |
均方误差 |
RB |
均方误差 |
RB |
均方误差 |
RB |
均方误差 |
|
| 3 |
30. |
|
0.0452 |
0.1505 |
−0.0319 |
0.1150 |
0.0125 |
0.0942 |
0.0014 |
0.0883 |
−0.0001 |
0.0250 |
|
|
0.0274 |
0.0635 |
−0.0193 |
0.0415 |
0.0077 |
0.0293 |
0.0034 |
0.0263 |
−0.0024 |
0.0216 |
|
|
0.0232 |
0.0025 |
−0.0185 |
0.0017 |
0.0067 |
0.0017 |
0.0019 |
0.0013 |
−0.0023 |
0.0016 |
|
|
−0.9639 |
0.0009 |
−0.9604 |
0.0008 |
−0.9622 |
0.0008 |
−0.9619 |
0.0007 |
−0.9616 |
0.0004 |
|
|
−0.9275 |
0.0022 |
−0.9240 |
0.0017 |
−0.9253 |
0.0020 |
−0.9252 |
0.0018 |
−0.9243 |
0.0012 |
|
|
−0.4228 |
0.0036 |
−0.4240 |
0.0028 |
−0.4183 |
0.0039 |
−0.4208 |
0.0033 |
−0.4147 |
0.0028 |
| 80年 |
|
0.0163 |
0.0564 |
−0.0204 |
0.0413 |
0.0011 |
0.0134 |
0.0013 |
0.0134 |
−0.0006 |
0.0155 |
|
|
0.0116 |
0.0409 |
−0.0125 |
0.0134 |
0.0007 |
0.0038 |
0.0008 |
0.0039 |
−0.0027 |
0.0140 |
|
|
0.0094 |
0.0013 |
−0.0116 |
0.0005 |
0.0004 |
0.0003 |
0.0002 |
0.0003 |
−0.0031 |
0.0007 |
|
|
−0.9627 |
0.0003 |
−0.9609 |
0.0003 |
−0.9619 |
0.0002 |
−0.9619 |
0.0002 |
−0.9618 |
0.0002 |
|
|
−0.9257 |
0.0008 |
−0.9239 |
0.0007 |
−0.9246 |
0.0006 |
−0.9247 |
0.0005 |
−0.9247 |
0.0005 |
|
|
−0.4175 |
0.0012 |
−0.4174 |
0.0010 |
−0.4149 |
0.0012 |
−0.4152 |
0.0011 |
−0.4158 |
0.0010 |
| 150年 |
|
0.0056 |
0.0274 |
−0.0179 |
0.0237 |
−0.0094 |
0.0186 |
−0.0055 |
0.0147 |
−0.0009 |
0.0077 |
|
|
0.0005 |
0.0175 |
−0.0108 |
0.0073 |
−0.0037 |
0.0058 |
−0.0030 |
0.0045 |
0.0014 |
0.0073 |
|
|
0.0032 |
0.0006 |
−0.0071 |
0.0003 |
−0.0011 |
0.0004 |
−0.0003 |
0.0002 |
0.0026 |
0.0004 |
|
|
−0.9617 |
0.0002 |
−0.9606 |
0.0002 |
−0.9611 |
0.0002 |
−0.9613 |
0.0001 |
−0.9616 |
0.0001 |
|
|
−0.9243 |
0.0004 |
−0.9232 |
0.0004 |
−0.9236 |
0.0004 |
−0.9238 |
0.0004 |
−0.9242 |
0.0003 |
|
|
−0.4110 |
0.0007 |
−0.4111 |
0.0006 |
−0.4108 |
0.0007 |
−0.4106 |
0.0006 |
−0.4113 |
0.0006 |
|
| 0.5 |
30. |
|
0.0571 |
0.0196 |
0.0276 |
0.0168 |
0.0644 |
0.0135 |
0.0493 |
0.0121 |
0.0212 |
0.0066 |
|
|
0.0459 |
0.5967 |
−0.0533 |
0.4173 |
−0.0095 |
0.0766 |
−0.0248 |
0.1783 |
−0.0022 |
0.0249 |
|
|
0.1003 |
0.0658 |
−0.0267 |
0.0387 |
0.0576 |
0.0505 |
0.0214 |
0.0395 |
−0.0091 |
0.0155 |
|
|
−0.8326 |
0.0001 |
−0.8459 |
0.0001 |
−0.8324 |
0.0002 |
−0.8374 |
0.0001 |
−0.8386 |
0.0001 |
|
|
−0.9594 |
0.0002 |
−0.9627 |
0.0002 |
−0.9593 |
0.0004 |
−0.9606 |
0.0002 |
−0.9609 |
0.0002 |
|
|
−0.7660 |
0.0005 |
−0.7852 |
0.0004 |
−0.7658 |
0.0008 |
−0.7729 |
0.0005 |
−0.7748 |
0.0004 |
| 80年 |
|
0.0384 |
0.0155 |
0.0089 |
0.0050 |
0.0187 |
0.0052 |
0.0184 |
0.0051 |
0.0070 |
0.0030 |
|
|
0.0387 |
0.9714 |
−0.0347 |
0.1697 |
0.0065 |
0.0661 |
−0.0059 |
0.1168 |
0.0007 |
0.0194 |
|
|
0.0559 |
0.0538 |
−0.0354 |
0.0134 |
0.0239 |
0.0200 |
0.0037 |
0.0150 |
−0.0025 |
0.0077 |
|
|
−0.8369 |
3.484E−05 |
−0.8430 |
0.0000 |
−0.8366 |
0.0001 |
−0.8383 |
0.0000 |
−0.8386 |
3.091E−05 |
|
|
−0.9605 |
7.956E−05 |
−0.9620 |
0.0001 |
−0.9604 |
0.0001 |
−0.9608 |
0.0001 |
−0.9609 |
7.884E−05 |
|
|
−0.7726 |
1.544E−04 |
−0.7814 |
0.0002 |
−0.7722 |
0.0002 |
−0.7746 |
0.0002 |
−0.7752 |
1.427E−04 |
| 150年 |
|
0.0180 |
0.0049 |
0.0029 |
0.0025 |
0.0207 |
0.0031 |
0.0194 |
0.0027 |
0.0044 |
0.0015 |
|
|
0.0056 |
0.2288 |
−0.0232 |
0.0877 |
−0.0107 |
0.0529 |
−0.0190 |
0.0501 |
−0.0017 |
0.0080 |
|
|
0.0205 |
0.0145 |
−0.0163 |
0.0079 |
0.0072 |
0.0095 |
−0.0049 |
0.0074 |
0.0054 |
0.0040 |
|
|
−0.8369 |
1.899E−05 |
−0.8409 |
1.820E−05 |
−0.8367 |
3.140E−05 |
−0.8377 |
2.241E−05 |
−0.8378 |
1.795E−05 |
|
|
−0.9605 |
4.338E−05 |
−0.9615 |
4.305E−05 |
−0.9604 |
7.036E−05 |
−0.9607 |
5.058E−05 |
−0.9607 |
4.304E−05 |
|
|
−0.7728 |
8.393E−05 |
−0.7786 |
8.364E−05 |
−0.7725 |
1.333E−04 |
−0.7740 |
9.664E−05 |
−0.7742 |
8.309E−05 |
|
|