研究文章
潜在的增长曲线建模COVID-19病例存在时变协变量
表4
估计系数的各种模型和TVC所有国家数据从2020年8月到2021年7月。
|
|
线性 |
二次 |
指数 |
潜在的 |
多相 |
| 截距和斜率 |
|
| τ0 |
75.7481 |
86.0991 |
88.0494 |
82.0764 |
79.8183 |
| τ1 |
0.1262 |
−5.3411 |
−1.2446 |
−2.4983 |
−6.8267 |
| τ2 |
|
0.5547 |
|
|
7.8347 |
| λ(率) |
|
|
9.8281 |
|
|
| λ1 |
|
|
|
−0.1288 |
|
| λ2 |
|
|
|
0.4034 |
|
| λ3 |
|
|
|
0.8180 |
0.2743 |
| λ4 |
|
|
|
1.6236 |
0.6174 |
| λ5 |
|
|
|
2.1601 |
0.0597 |
| λ6 |
|
|
|
2.4385 |
|
| λ7 |
|
|
|
2.4080 |
0.2245 |
| λ8 |
|
|
|
1.9792 |
0.7487 |
| λ9 |
|
|
|
1.4700 |
1.2254 |
| λ10 |
|
|
|
1.1387 |
1.3616 |
|
| 协方差 |
| τ0↔τ0 |
233.4468 |
625.8157 |
−9.0008 |
313.6485 |
348.3898 |
| τ1↔τ1 |
22.3028 |
385.5562 |
12.2186 |
411.1636 |
2485.5481 |
| τ2↔τ2 |
|
3.5006 |
|
1414.3588 |
|
| τ0↔τ1 |
−46.4866 |
−445.1598 |
−34.4772 |
−272.0185 |
−596.6951 |
| τ0↔τ2 |
39.4834 |
21.3108 |
|
|
|
| τ1↔τ2 |
|
−35.7064 |
|
|
−1014.6153 |
|
| 回归(TVC) |
|
|
|
|
|
| γ[1] |
0.0018 |
−0.1782 |
−0.1836 |
−0.0994 |
−0.0605 |
| γ[2] |
0.0316 |
−0.0524 |
0.0614 |
−0.0715 |
−0.0338 |
| γ[3] |
−0.0002 |
−0.0289 |
0.0131 |
−0.0719 |
0.0652 |
| γ[4] |
−0.0132 |
−0.0168 |
−0.0256 |
−0.0632 |
0.0334 |
| γ[5] |
0.0334 |
0.0589 |
0.0363 |
0.0052 |
0.0381 |
| γ[6] |
0.0314 |
0.0643 |
0.0376 |
0.0178 |
0.0561 |
| γ[7] |
0.0191 |
0.0373 |
0.0251 |
0.0077 |
0.0501 |
| γ[8] |
0.0276 |
0.0215 |
0.0371 |
0.0130 |
0.0340 |
| γ[9] |
−0.0005 |
−0.0346 |
0.0087 |
−0.0181 |
−0.0277 |
| γ[10] |
−0.0228 |
−0.1161 |
−0.0233 |
−0.0690 |
−0.1033 |
| γ[11] |
−0.0162 |
−0.2055 |
−0.0138 |
−0.0757 |
−0.1268 |
| γ[12] |
0.0233 |
−0.0570 |
0.0256 |
−0.0318 |
−0.0539 |
|
|
|
|
