研究文章
预测热带气旋的使用数据挖掘技术特征因素对海南岛
表9
统计显著性测试的结果为每个方程用于预测相应的特征因素预测模型1和2预测模型。
|
| 预估时间 |
区号 |
预测模型(1或2) |
广场/价值纬度 |
广场/经度值 |
广场/值美联社 |
广场/值WS |
|
| 24小时 |
1 |
1 |
0.5883/9.52×10−11 |
0.6011/7.91×10−9 |
0.6222/4.46×10−10 |
0.7615/5.47×10−15 |
| 2 |
0.4493/2.26×10−32 |
0.5809/5.93×10−50 |
0.7030/1.31×10−68 |
0.7731/1.01×10−81 |
| 2 |
1 |
0.7177/1.86×10−14 |
0.4391/3.66×10−5 |
0.7556/5.03×10−16 |
0.7995/3.57×10−18 |
| 2 |
0.6808/5.17×10−101 |
0.6753/1.77×10−99 |
0.7481/2.13×10−122 |
0.7277/3.71×10−114 |
| 3 |
1 |
0.6471/6.36×10−11 |
0.6559/3.48×10−11 |
0.6310/1.83×10−10 |
0.6495/3.24×10−10 |
| 2 |
0.6802/6.46×10−94 |
0.7506/1.19×10−114 |
0.5509/1.40×10−62 |
0.5573/9.84×10−65 |
| 4 |
1 |
0.7572/1.05×10−12 |
0.5348/3.32×10−8 |
0.7594/1.15×10−13 |
0.8174/2.47×10−15 |
| 2 |
0.6405/4.83×10−42 |
0.6266/1.64×10−40 |
0.6903/1.01×10−44 |
0.7652/9.25×10−57 |
| 5 |
1 |
0.5031/2.40×10−6 |
0.5154/1.51×10−6 |
0.8732/2.73×10−14 |
0.8524/5.03×10−15 |
| 2 |
0.6239/2.84×10−35 |
0.6464/1.67×10−37 |
0.7835/6.98×10−52 |
0.7550/1.52×10−48 |
|
| 48小时 |
1 |
1 |
0.1337/0.0240 |
0.3943/3.91×10−5 |
0.3208/1.77×10−4 |
0.4725/5.34×10−6 |
| 2 |
0.2177/0.0049 |
0.0399/0.3398 |
0.2532/0.0016 |
0.4275/7.92×10−6 |
| 2 |
1 |
0.4515/9.05×10−6 |
0.2668/0.0218 |
0.6720/1.72×10−10 |
0.4622/5.99×10−6 |
| 2 |
0.4022/1.64×10−36 |
0.3095/6.51×10−26 |
0.2960/5.05×10−23 |
0.3332/6.27×10−27 |
| 3 |
1 |
0.2251/0.0218 |
0.3935/4.57×10−5 |
0.0026/0.7270 |
0.1362/0.1596 |
| 2 |
0.3073/6.18×10−25 |
0.4369/2.13×10−39 |
0.1768/2.51×10−12 |
0.2479/8.91×10−18 |
| 4 |
1 |
0.4992/9.60×10−7 |
0.3055/2.74×10−4 |
0.4303/1.53×10−5 |
0.6249/1.84×10−9 |
| 2 |
0.3323/3.77×10−16 |
0.3270/1.02×10−16 |
0.2471/1.70×10−9 |
0.3580/3.65×10−16 |
| 5 |
1 |
0.4546/6.19×10−5 |
0.2554/0.0043 |
0.3705/1.91×10−4 |
0.3535/0.0012 |
| 2 |
0.4219/1.09×10−18 |
0.3825/3.44×10−17 |
0.2120/2.18×10−7 |
0.3322/2.46×10−12 |
|
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