ty -jour a2 -Rabelo，Luis Carlos au -Zhang，Yong Au -Zhao -Zhao，Tingsheng au -Zhou -Zhou，Aijiao Au -Zhang -Zhang，Zhengzhu au -liu -liu -wen py -wen py -2016 da -2016 da -2016/26 ti -scemario ununicip ununicip -scemario -scemario ti -scematip ti-估计：动态仿真模型SP -1746310 VL -2016 AB的开发和应用 - 本文开发因果循环图和系统动力学模型，用于估计废水数量变化，这是未来社会经济发展和城市城市水环境的函数在几个关键因素的影响下。Using Wuhan (a city with population more than 10 million in China) as a case study, the variability of Wuhan’s wastewater quantity and water environment is modeled under different development patterns by year 2030. Nine future scenarios are designed by assigning different values to those key factors, including GDP growth rate, water consumption of annual ten thousand GDP, and wastewater treatment fee. The results show that （（ 1 ） GDP增长导致市政废水数量的增加，但是废水处理费的增加可能是为了减少城市水污染，并且 （（ 2 ） 在不久的将来，每千元GDP用水量对市政废水量的影响较大，而长期GDP增长率的影响要大得多。事实证明，该动态模型可靠地模拟市政废水的变化，并且可以帮助决策者做出科学和合理的决策。SN -1687-5591 UR -https：//doi.org/10.1155/2016/1746310 do -10.1155/2016/2016/1746310 JF-工程PB中的建模和仿真 - Hindawi Publishing Corporation Corporation Corporation Corporation Corporation kw -er- ER- er--